Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.239145 0.270710 0.304331 0.342748 0.385367 0.431137 0.483945
2025-09-07 0.199164 0.241998 0.290434 0.349042 0.417811 0.495706 0.590368
2025-09-14 0.167288 0.216268 0.274601 0.348733 0.439929 0.547907 0.684839
2025-09-21 0.143399 0.196039 0.261708 0.348858 0.460581 0.598014 0.778749
2025-09-28 0.124799 0.179575 0.250857 0.349213 0.480014 0.646419 0.872306
2025-10-05 0.111702 0.168419 0.245104 0.354683 0.505236 0.702527 0.977860
2025-10-12 0.102227 0.160891 0.243028 0.364169 0.535541 0.766107 1.095842
2025-10-19 0.092395 0.151562 0.237225 0.367422 0.556753 0.817837 1.199804
2025-10-26 0.085246 0.145316 0.235018 0.375161 0.584127 0.878774 1.318735
2025-11-02 0.079768 0.140963 0.235017 0.385755 0.615751 0.946710 1.450137
2025-11-09 0.072102 0.132234 0.227427 0.383998 0.628521 0.987646 1.544139
2025-11-16 0.065562 0.124626 0.220821 0.383004 0.641939 1.029618 1.640890
2025-11-23 0.059381 0.117166 0.214086 0.381705 0.655415 1.073306 1.743895
2025-11-30 0.055506 0.113346 0.213004 0.389391 0.683343 1.140092 1.884645
2025-12-07 0.050733 0.107356 0.207665 0.389470 0.698806 1.188098 1.998461
2025-12-14 0.046516 0.101927 0.202786 0.389836 0.714519 1.236923 2.115318
2025-12-21 0.042759 0.096959 0.198255 0.390351 0.730281 1.286243 2.234683
2025-12-28 0.040125 0.093931 0.196980 0.396452 0.755712 1.352118 2.382991
2026-01-04 0.038270 0.092294 0.198141 0.406950 0.789176 1.432433 2.557686
2026-01-11 0.035743 0.088950 0.195718 0.410559 0.810516 1.493204 2.702292
2026-01-18 0.033976 0.087055 0.195950 0.419102 0.840999 1.570488 2.877068
2026-01-25 0.032661 0.086023 0.197795 0.430785 0.877660 1.659642 3.074875
2026-02-01 0.030100 0.081848 0.192866 0.428852 0.888964 1.705139 3.199760